本报告分析亚洲经济体之间的贸易依存度、亚洲经济体在亚洲工厂中的相互依存度，以及亚洲经济体直接投资依存度情况，并对亚洲经济一体化进程情况则从亚洲服务业一体化和亚洲金融一体化的角度进行分析；系统地总结了亚洲各经济体综合竞争力和各分项竞争力，并对其进行了指数评估及分析，展望了其未来的发展趋势；研究了新兴经济体在经济增长、大宗商品、就业与收入、物价与货币政策、国际贸易、国际直接投资、债务和金融市场方面的新情况和新进展，并对新兴经济体的经济形势进行展望。
ACRONYMS
FOREWORD
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
Part I Asian Economic Outlook
Executive Summary
Chapter 1 Asian Economic Situation and Policy
1.1 Economic Growth
1.2 Employment and Income
1.3 Price and Monetary Policy
1.4 Trade and Investment
1.5 Debt
1.6 Financial Markets
Chapter 2 Hotspot Issues
2.1 The China-US Phase-one Economic and Trade Agreement
2.2 The Signing of US-Japan Digital Trade Agreement
2.3 Economic Slowdown in Emerging Economies
2.4 High-quality Infrastructure Construction Facilitated by the Belt and Road Initiative
2.5 Phased Progress in RCEP Negotiations
Part II Asian Economic Integration
Chapter 3 Overview
3.1 Synchronization of Business Cycles Between Asia and the World Economy Has Weakened
3.2 Dependence on Intra-regional Trade in Goods Among Asian Economies Is Intensifying
3.3 Cooperation of Global Value Chain Within Asia
3.4 Asia’s Direct Investment Is Depending More on Itself
3.5 Dependence of Trade in Services Among Asian Economies Is Relatively Low, Except for Tourism
3.6 Asia’s Financial Integration Helps Economic Integration
Chapter 4 Trade Interdependence Among the Asian Economies
4.1 Trend of Asia’s Trade Integration
4.2 Trade Interdependence Among Selected Asian Economies: Past and
4.3 Trade Flows Among Selected Asian Economies
4.4 Direct and Interdependence of Intermediates Trade
4.5 Employment Dependence on Domestic and Foreign Demand: Evidences from Selected Economies
Chapter 5 The Interdependence in Factory Asia
5.1 The Evolutionary Change in the Interdependence Index
5.2 Dependence of Parts and Components and Competitive Advantages
5.3 Distribution of Competitive Advantages Among Global Factories
Chapter 6 FDI Interdependence in Asia
6.1 FDI Inter-dependence in Asia
6.2 Interdependence of Inward FDI
6.3 Interdependence of Outward FDI
Chapter 7 Integration in Asia’s Service Sector
7.1 Asian Economies’ Service Exports
7.2 Services Value Added Embodied in Gross Exports of Asian Economies
7.3 Asia Tourism Integration Index
Chapter 8 Financial Integration
8.1 De jure and de facto Financial Openness of Asian and Pacific Economies
8.2 Saving and Investment Correlations in Asian Economies
8.3 Portfolio Investment in Asia: More Challenges, New Opportunities
Conclusion
Appendix Asia Pacific Investment Confidence Barometer
References
Acknowledgements