Boao Forum for Asia Asian Economic Outlook and Integration Progress Annual Report 2025（《博鳌亚洲论坛亚洲经济前景及一体化进程2025年度报告》）是2025年博鳌亚洲论坛年度报告之一。2024年，在全球经济放缓的背景下，亚洲是一大亮点。尽管全球需求减弱，但强大的经济韧性和活力使亚洲整体呈现复苏态势。发展中的亚洲是全球的中坚力量，中国经济的反弹给亚洲和全球传递了积极信号。本报告分三篇来展开，共有八章。第一篇为亚洲经济前景及政策，第二篇为亚洲经济一体化进程，第三篇为亚洲经济热点议题。本报告内容涵盖：亚洲经济前景、亚洲主要经济体经济政策展望、全球经济治理进入“亚洲时刻”、亚洲经济体货物贸易一体化进程、亚洲经济体服务贸易一体化进程、亚洲经济体直接投资融合度、亚洲经济体金融融合与发展进程和亚洲经济热点议题。
FOREWORD
PREPARATION NOTES AND ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
ACRONYMS
Part I Asian Economic Outlook and Policies
Chapter 1 Asian Economic Prospects
1.1 Overview
1.2 Economic Growth
1.3 Employment and Income Prospects
1.4 Inflation
1.5 Trade and Investment
1.6 Financial Markets
Chapter 2 Economic Policy Outlook for Major Asian Economies
2.1 External Macro Policies
2.2 Fiscal Policies
2.3 Monetary Policies
Part II Asian Economic Integration Progress
Chapter 3 Merchandise Trade Integration in Asia
3.1 Asian Economies Maintain Strong Reliance on Intra-Asia Merchandise Trade
3.2 Integration of Factory Asia
Chapter 4 Service Trade Integration of Asian Economies
4.1 Service Trade in Asian Economies
4.2 The Current State of Digital Trade Development in Asia
4.3 Key Service Industry Analysis (Tourism as Example)
Chapter 5 Asian Economic Integration in Terms of Direct Investment
5.1 The Status of Asian Economic Integration in Terms of Direct Investment
5.2 Cross-Border Investment Outlook for Asia
Chapter 6 Financial Cohesive Progress in Asia
6.1 Portfolio Investment of Global and Asian Economies
6.2 Current Landscape of Global and Asian Cross-Border Banking
Part III RCEP: Shaping the New Future for Asia’s Economy
Chapter 7 RCEP: Shaping the New Future for Asia’s Economy
7.1 RCEP: Demonstrating the Determination and Ability of Open Cooperation
7.2 RCEP: An Important Force Promoting Regional Economic Integration
7.3 RCEP: Key Challenges in Comprehensive Implementation
7.4 RCEP: Jointly Building the High-Level Largest Free Trade Area